ADP and the Accruement of Acuna
Posted: Wed Dec 13, 2017 9:43 am
I have three or four NFBC friends disagreeing on the worth of Ronald Acuna.
Rookies are a tough nut. Especially this time of year.
How much playing time does Acuna receive?
Will Atlanta make him stay at AAA for two months, no matter how good he looks, to gain another year of control?
When he arrives, will he burst on the scene?
Or will he struggle?
The fact is, we don't know the answer to any of these questions.
All we have is what everybody has, an opinion.
Acuna is 20 and flew through Atlanta's minor league system last year.
Then, he killed it at the Arizona Fall League.
His backers will say that each time Acuna moved up to a higher league, he performed even better last year.
Here are his 2017 numbers...32/88/21/82/44
With numbers like that, it's no wonder some are salivating.
His detractors will say that he turns 20 years old next week.
There will be no reason for the Braves to hurry him through to the Major Leagues.
That April and May are off the table as far as the Big Club and if he struggles or gets hurt during that time, he may not see the Majors at all.
Acuna's adp is 162. 11th round.
I've seen him go in the sixth and seventh rounds in a few drafts already.
For me, I cannot draft him that high.
All the questions in the first paragraph won't let me draft him that high.
I can't even draft him at his 162 adp right now.
He is one of those kids that will have to shine in Spring Training. leaving his club no choice but to roster him for the beginning of the season. If that happens, then everybody who had faith in Acuna will win that portion of the battle.
I have many doubts about that happening.
On top of those things, the Braves outfield is full as of now.
They are paying Matt Kemp too much (21 million) to play left.
Nick Markakis has one year at too much (10.5 million) money to play right.
And they have a producer in Ender Inciarte playing center field.
I love Acuna's talent. Love it.
But during the Draft Championships season, I'll let those that have more faith in his playing time take him in drafts.
I could be wrong. It happens every day.
But for me, I'll think of him as somebody to watch in 2018 and somebody to draft in 2019.
Rookies are a tough nut. Especially this time of year.
How much playing time does Acuna receive?
Will Atlanta make him stay at AAA for two months, no matter how good he looks, to gain another year of control?
When he arrives, will he burst on the scene?
Or will he struggle?
The fact is, we don't know the answer to any of these questions.
All we have is what everybody has, an opinion.
Acuna is 20 and flew through Atlanta's minor league system last year.
Then, he killed it at the Arizona Fall League.
His backers will say that each time Acuna moved up to a higher league, he performed even better last year.
Here are his 2017 numbers...32/88/21/82/44
With numbers like that, it's no wonder some are salivating.
His detractors will say that he turns 20 years old next week.
There will be no reason for the Braves to hurry him through to the Major Leagues.
That April and May are off the table as far as the Big Club and if he struggles or gets hurt during that time, he may not see the Majors at all.
Acuna's adp is 162. 11th round.
I've seen him go in the sixth and seventh rounds in a few drafts already.
For me, I cannot draft him that high.
All the questions in the first paragraph won't let me draft him that high.
I can't even draft him at his 162 adp right now.
He is one of those kids that will have to shine in Spring Training. leaving his club no choice but to roster him for the beginning of the season. If that happens, then everybody who had faith in Acuna will win that portion of the battle.
I have many doubts about that happening.
On top of those things, the Braves outfield is full as of now.
They are paying Matt Kemp too much (21 million) to play left.
Nick Markakis has one year at too much (10.5 million) money to play right.
And they have a producer in Ender Inciarte playing center field.
I love Acuna's talent. Love it.
But during the Draft Championships season, I'll let those that have more faith in his playing time take him in drafts.
I could be wrong. It happens every day.
But for me, I'll think of him as somebody to watch in 2018 and somebody to draft in 2019.