Did You Hear What HQ Said About Chisenhall?
Posted: Thu Feb 01, 2018 10:52 am
So, I am in a draft today and a fella selects Lonnie Chisenhall in the 29th round.
Perfectly acceptable pick.
Then, he writes this in chat....
'OLH, HQ projections love Chisenhall'
It's as if he had to backup his pick with others.
The type a guy who would tell some other kid to meet him after school for a fight, then ask two of his friends to be there to back him up.
Soon, another fella in the draft types the at bat projections from Steamer and HQ.
The drafter agrees with the HQ projection in that they 'give' him more at bats.
WHAT?!!
First of all, if you are going to look at projections look at Mastersball. Todd's projections have more explanation and an NFBC look to them.
Second, why do we look at projections at all?
All projections, no matter how good or bad they project a player, have one thing in common.
Nobody cares about them once the season begins.
They are draft season fodder.
Something to TALK ABOUT.
NOT APPLY to your team.
In real life, do you know what projections would be?
RUMORS.
See if this sounds familiar...
Your Aunt Ruth comes to your house and says, "Do you know what your Uncle Ted said about your Mother?"
In fantasy life it is, "Do you know what Baseball Headquarters said about Lonnie Chisenhall?"
Right?
Projections are ENTERTAINMENT.
They're not to be leaned on.
It's an educated guess as to what will happen in the coming year.
A guess by somebody other than yourself.
Who is drafting and paying for the team?
Guaranteed, it is not a fella read on an internet site.
It isn't even like copying off the smartest kid in class.
The smartest kid in class does not project.
He writes down answers already known.
We don't know our answers. Nobody knows our answers.
Yet, some copy anyway.
In a sense, ADP are projections.
Instead of one writer or a gaggle of writers from a site, it is a gaggle (the plural for many fantasy players) of drafters in the NFBC.
Ah, but we don't sometimes trust that gaggle.
We don't know where that gaggle has been.
So, we trust HQ, OLH, or some other site well known enough for just initials.
You know how we tell our kids, "Do as I say, not as I do"
That, is how we should look at projections.
Read how these sites came up with their projections.
It can be very enlightening.
If just quoting projections or using them as a guide for your picks, no matter where from, the odds are, you will not have long term success in this hobby.
Perfectly acceptable pick.
Then, he writes this in chat....
'OLH, HQ projections love Chisenhall'
It's as if he had to backup his pick with others.
The type a guy who would tell some other kid to meet him after school for a fight, then ask two of his friends to be there to back him up.
Soon, another fella in the draft types the at bat projections from Steamer and HQ.
The drafter agrees with the HQ projection in that they 'give' him more at bats.
WHAT?!!
First of all, if you are going to look at projections look at Mastersball. Todd's projections have more explanation and an NFBC look to them.
Second, why do we look at projections at all?
All projections, no matter how good or bad they project a player, have one thing in common.
Nobody cares about them once the season begins.
They are draft season fodder.
Something to TALK ABOUT.
NOT APPLY to your team.
In real life, do you know what projections would be?
RUMORS.
See if this sounds familiar...
Your Aunt Ruth comes to your house and says, "Do you know what your Uncle Ted said about your Mother?"
In fantasy life it is, "Do you know what Baseball Headquarters said about Lonnie Chisenhall?"
Right?
Projections are ENTERTAINMENT.
They're not to be leaned on.
It's an educated guess as to what will happen in the coming year.
A guess by somebody other than yourself.
Who is drafting and paying for the team?
Guaranteed, it is not a fella read on an internet site.
It isn't even like copying off the smartest kid in class.
The smartest kid in class does not project.
He writes down answers already known.
We don't know our answers. Nobody knows our answers.
Yet, some copy anyway.
In a sense, ADP are projections.
Instead of one writer or a gaggle of writers from a site, it is a gaggle (the plural for many fantasy players) of drafters in the NFBC.
Ah, but we don't sometimes trust that gaggle.
We don't know where that gaggle has been.
So, we trust HQ, OLH, or some other site well known enough for just initials.
You know how we tell our kids, "Do as I say, not as I do"
That, is how we should look at projections.
Read how these sites came up with their projections.
It can be very enlightening.
If just quoting projections or using them as a guide for your picks, no matter where from, the odds are, you will not have long term success in this hobby.